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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.47+2.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+1.02vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands0.37+6.06vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.37+5.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+1.02vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+2.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine0.08+3.28vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+1.77vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.39-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.88-2.51vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89+2.16vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.58-3.44vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.85-5.57vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.53-5.38vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.47vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.02-2.58vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.68-2.02vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.02-11.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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3.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.3%1st Place
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9.06California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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9.06California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.1%1st Place
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8.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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9.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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8.84University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Southern California0.880.0%1st Place
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13.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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8.56University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Berkeley0.530.0%1st Place
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13.53University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.42University of California at Los Angeles-1.020.0%1st Place
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14.98University of California at San Diego-1.680.0%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 26.8% | 20.8% | 17.9% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 26.2% | 22.4% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alan Simonini | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thomas | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Daniele | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Diego Gomes | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 20.0% | 43.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.