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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.47+1.06vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands0.37+6.09vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.37+5.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.02+1.93vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.31-0.10vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.58+1.58vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.85-0.49vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.53-0.55vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.88-2.54vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18-1.33vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-2.86vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine0.08-2.91vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-0.85vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.02-1.50vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.62vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.39-7.93vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.68-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.3%1st Place
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3.06University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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9.09California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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9.09California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.1%1st Place
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8.58University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Berkeley0.530.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Southern California0.880.0%1st Place
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9.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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9.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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10.09University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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13.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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13.5University of California at Los Angeles-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.38University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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9.07University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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15.02University of California at San Diego-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobi Allen | 26.9% | 21.5% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 25.4% | 23.3% | 18.4% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thomas | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alan Simonini | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Daniele | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 21.2% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Diego Gomes | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 18.7% | 44.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.