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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.47+2.02vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+7.04vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.58+4.41vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.37+3.89vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.88+1.50vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.85+0.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.53+0.44vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.37-0.11vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.02-2.99vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89+2.14vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18-2.13vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.02+0.47vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.31-7.93vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine0.08-4.81vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.62vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.39-7.91vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.68-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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9.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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3.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.3%1st Place
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8.41University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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8.89California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Southern California0.880.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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8.44University of California at Berkeley0.530.0%1st Place
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8.89California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.01University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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13.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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9.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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13.47University of California at Los Angeles-1.020.0%1st Place
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6.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.1%1st Place
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10.19University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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13.38University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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9.09University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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15.01University of California at San Diego-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 26.0% | 23.6% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 26.4% | 22.1% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alan Simonini | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thomas | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Daniele | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 22.2% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Diego Gomes | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 19.6% | 44.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.