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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.20+5.82vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.38+4.27vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.74+2.15vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.36+2.25vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.83-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.54-0.37vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.41+2.78vs Predicted
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8Duke University1.19+2.71vs Predicted
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10Florida State University2.08-2.91vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.15-0.45vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina1.32-2.01vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University0.23+1.00vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-1.87vs Predicted
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15University of Tennessee0.99-3.66vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.11-1.54vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-7.36vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.38-8.28vs Predicted
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19Auburn University-1.97-0.99vs Predicted
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20University of Georgia-1.71-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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6.27Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.15Eckerd College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.25College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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5.63University of South Florida2.540.1%1st Place
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9.78Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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10.71Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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7.09Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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10.55Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.99University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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14.0Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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12.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Tennessee0.990.0%1st Place
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14.46University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.64Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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9.72North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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18.01Auburn University-1.970.0%1st Place
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17.53University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Famiglietti | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Thompson | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 12.5% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 13.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.5% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| John Lindahl | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Sage Stahmer | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 24.2% | 16.9% | 3.3% |
| John Reddaway | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 28.9% | 54.8% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 10.1% | 35.6% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.