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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+5.27vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.41+7.78vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.08+4.29vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.36+2.25vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.20+1.99vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.83-1.22vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.74-1.95vs Predicted
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8Duke University1.19+2.69vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.38+0.62vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.36vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.54-6.37vs Predicted
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13University of Tennessee0.99-1.45vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina1.32-4.16vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University0.23-1.17vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-3.84vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.15-6.47vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-0.11-3.44vs Predicted
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19Auburn University-1.97-0.95vs Predicted
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20University of Georgia-1.71-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.78Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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7.29Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.25College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
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5.05Eckerd College2.740.1%1st Place
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10.69Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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9.62North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.64Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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5.63University of South Florida2.540.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Tennessee0.990.0%1st Place
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9.84University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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13.83Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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12.16University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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10.53Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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14.56University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
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18.05Auburn University-1.970.0%1st Place
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17.5University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Thompson | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 17.0% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 12.8% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| David Rogers | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 11.5% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lindahl | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 9.7% | 1.4% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sage Stahmer | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 24.8% | 15.7% | 3.1% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 28.5% | 55.1% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 11.3% | 34.9% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.