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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.61+3.46vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.54+2.69vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.66+4.36vs Predicted
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4University of Florida2.38+1.03vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.72+5.65vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.89+3.76vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.31+1.46vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.82-3.86vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.77-2.18vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-0.74vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.26-3.38vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-5.11vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University0.05-1.63vs Predicted
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15University of Tennessee-1.36+1.10vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.50-4.99vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-2.33+0.65vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-1.41-1.96vs Predicted
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19University of South Carolina-0.27-5.58vs Predicted
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20University of Georgia-1.64-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46College of Charleston2.610.2%1st Place
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4.69Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.36Clemson University1.660.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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10.65Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.76North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.46University of South Florida1.310.0%1st Place
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4.14Eckerd College2.820.2%1st Place
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6.82Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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9.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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7.89Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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12.37Embry-Riddle University0.050.0%1st Place
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16.1University of Tennessee-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.01Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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17.65Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
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16.04University of North Carolina-1.410.0%1st Place
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13.42University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.3University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Harr | 15.5% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 14.4% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sara Simon | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 18.5% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Giancarlo Falconi | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Geller | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Newton | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 23.8% | 21.5% | 14.4% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 20.3% | 51.0% |
| Jacob Lozier | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 20.8% | 16.1% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 26.2% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.