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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.54+3.63vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.31+6.46vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.82+1.03vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.61+0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.38+0.20vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.66+0.24vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+1.37vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-1.17vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University0.05+2.27vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.89-1.19vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.72-1.59vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-0.27+0.72vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.26-5.57vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.77-7.99vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.50-4.97vs Predicted
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17University of Tennessee-1.36-0.99vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-1.64-1.48vs Predicted
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19Auburn University-2.33-1.30vs Predicted
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20University of North Carolina-1.41-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.46University of South Florida1.310.0%1st Place
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4.03Eckerd College2.820.2%1st Place
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4.43College of Charleston2.610.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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7.24Clemson University1.660.1%1st Place
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9.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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7.83Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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12.27Embry-Riddle University0.050.0%1st Place
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9.81North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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10.41Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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13.72University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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7.01Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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11.03Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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16.01University of Tennessee-1.360.0%1st Place
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16.52University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
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17.7Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
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15.89University of North Carolina-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Ikeda | 14.4% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Simon | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 19.2% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Harr | 14.5% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 9.7% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Geller | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Mark Thompson | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 12.6% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Giancarlo Falconi | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Newton | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 22.9% | 21.1% | 13.1% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 25.1% | 22.7% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 12.7% | 21.9% | 49.0% |
| Jacob Lozier | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 22.0% | 20.8% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.