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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.82+2.91vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.61+2.47vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.89+6.70vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.26+4.48vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.38+0.18vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.77+0.79vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.54-2.39vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.66-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.31-0.81vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-1.90vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.72-1.75vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University0.05-0.44vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-6.67vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.50-3.98vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina-1.52-0.11vs Predicted
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17University of Tennessee-1.36-1.30vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-1.64-1.71vs Predicted
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19University of North Carolina-1.41-3.12vs Predicted
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20Auburn University-2.33-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Eckerd College2.820.2%1st Place
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4.47College of Charleston2.610.2%1st Place
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9.7North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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6.79Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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4.61Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.36Clemson University1.660.1%1st Place
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8.19University of South Florida1.310.0%1st Place
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9.1University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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10.25Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.56Embry-Riddle University0.050.0%1st Place
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7.33Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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11.02Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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15.89University of South Carolina-1.520.0%1st Place
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15.7University of Tennessee-1.360.0%1st Place
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16.29University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
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15.88University of North Carolina-1.410.0%1st Place
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17.29Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Schoene | 19.4% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Harr | 16.3% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Giancarlo Falconi | 2.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 14.5% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Simon | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Geller | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Zelman | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 16.0% |
| Zachary Newton | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 18.9% | 20.3% | 18.0% | 10.2% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 21.8% | 19.6% |
| Jacob Lozier | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 12.5% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.