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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+3.06vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.38vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.03+2.53vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.06+1.55vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+3.94vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.82+6.58vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81-0.83vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.07-2.68vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.55-1.86vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.83+2.37vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy2.20-2.81vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.53-1.76vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80-3.52vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University0.55-0.79vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University1.49-4.55vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.20-2.95vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-0.45-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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4.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.2%1st Place
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5.53Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.55Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.94Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.58Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
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6.17Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Vermont3.070.1%1st Place
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7.14Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.37McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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8.19Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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10.24Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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13.21Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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10.45Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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14.05University of New Hampshire0.200.0%1st Place
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15.35Bentley University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 18.9% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 15.6% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Millham | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Wood | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 7.4% |
| James Rohman | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Taylor | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cruanes | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 6.3% |
| John Joseph | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sean Willerford | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Guttorm Straume | 2.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 20.7% | 11.1% |
| Molly Haley | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Jared Rodriguez | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 22.6% | 20.7% |
| Ben Dexter | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.