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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.82+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.38+2.71vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.61+1.08vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.87+2.09vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.66+1.89vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.03+4.88vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+0.82vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.89+0.42vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.77-3.75vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.71-1.23vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-0.27+1.06vs Predicted
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13University of Tennessee-1.45+3.22vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.50-3.62vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-1.41+0.95vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-2.33+1.34vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-1.64-0.70vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University0.05-6.14vs Predicted
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19Duke University0.72-9.31vs Predicted
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20University of South Florida1.25-12.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Eckerd College2.820.2%1st Place
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4.71University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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4.08College of Charleston2.610.2%1st Place
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6.09Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.89Clemson University1.660.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Miami0.030.0%1st Place
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8.82University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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9.42North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.25Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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9.77Georgia Institute of Technology0.710.0%1st Place
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13.06University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.22University of Tennessee-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.38Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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15.95University of North Carolina-1.410.0%1st Place
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17.34Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
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16.3University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.86Embry-Riddle University0.050.0%1st Place
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9.69Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.7University of South Florida1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Schoene | 21.7% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 14.4% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Harr | 18.4% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Buonaiuto | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Kailey Savacool | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Walton | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Murphy | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 20.0% | 24.7% | 16.7% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Lozier | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 14.6% | 20.9% | 22.0% | 14.8% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 48.0% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 12.5% | 19.1% | 24.9% | 18.9% |
| Joseph Geller | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Katsis | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dean Nixon | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.