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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.61+3.04vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.77+3.38vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.87+2.08vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.66+1.69vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.72+3.97vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.82-3.40vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.25+0.03vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.89+0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.03+1.86vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-2.35vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.71-2.17vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.50-2.18vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-0.27-1.18vs Predicted
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15University of Tennessee-1.45+1.07vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-1.41-0.28vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-2.33+0.46vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-1.64-1.70vs Predicted
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19Embry-Riddle University0.05-7.09vs Predicted
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20University of Florida2.38-15.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04College of Charleston2.610.2%1st Place
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6.38Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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6.08Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.69Clemson University1.660.1%1st Place
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9.97Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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3.6Eckerd College2.820.2%1st Place
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8.03University of South Florida1.250.0%1st Place
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9.42North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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11.86University of Miami0.030.0%1st Place
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8.65University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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9.83Georgia Institute of Technology0.710.0%1st Place
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10.82Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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12.82University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Tennessee-1.450.0%1st Place
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15.72University of North Carolina-1.410.0%1st Place
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17.46Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
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16.3University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.91Embry-Riddle University0.050.0%1st Place
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4.36University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Harr | 16.7% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 22.6% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dean Nixon | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Buonaiuto | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Kailey Savacool | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Walton | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Murphy | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 25.2% | 14.5% |
| Jacob Lozier | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 22.0% | 14.1% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 48.4% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 20.8% | 23.3% | 20.4% |
| Joseph Geller | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Armington | 15.5% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.