← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.82+2.67vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.54+2.31vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.61+1.23vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University0.89+5.28vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College1.77+1.57vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.25+2.00vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+0.75vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami0.03+3.28vs Predicted
-
10Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-2.93vs Predicted
-
11University of Florida2.38-6.47vs Predicted
-
12Clemson University0.51-1.55vs Predicted
-
13Duke University0.72-2.90vs Predicted
-
14Florida State University0.50-3.61vs Predicted
-
15University of South Carolina-0.27-1.92vs Predicted
-
16University of Georgia-1.64+0.17vs Predicted
-
17University of North Carolina-1.41-1.15vs Predicted
-
18Auburn University-2.33-0.47vs Predicted
-
19Embry-Riddle University0.05-7.01vs Predicted
-
20University of Tennessee-1.45-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.67Eckerd College2.820.2%1st Place
-
4.31Jacksonville University2.540.2%1st Place
-
4.23College of Charleston2.610.2%1st Place
-
9.28North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
-
6.57Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
-
8.0University of South Florida1.250.1%1st Place
-
8.75University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
-
12.28University of Miami0.030.0%1st Place
-
7.07Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
-
4.53University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
-
10.45Clemson University0.510.0%1st Place
-
10.1Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
-
10.39Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
-
13.08University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
-
16.17University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
-
15.85University of North Carolina-1.410.0%1st Place
-
17.53Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
-
11.99Embry-Riddle University0.050.0%1st Place
-
15.73University of Tennessee-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Schoene | 19.3% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 16.0% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Harr | 17.6% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dean Nixon | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Buonaiuto | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Rutledge | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Katsis | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 22.5% | 22.1% |
| Jacob Lozier | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 20.7% | 23.5% | 12.6% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 20.4% | 50.4% |
| Joseph Geller | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Murphy | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 15.6% | 21.4% | 20.7% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.