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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.54+3.30vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+5.20vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.82+0.70vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.61+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+3.98vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.77+0.40vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.25+1.13vs Predicted
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8University of Florida2.38-3.13vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.89+0.13vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.72-0.24vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.51-1.58vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.03-0.65vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.50-3.63vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-1.64+1.47vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-1.41-0.28vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina-0.27-4.12vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-2.33-0.50vs Predicted
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19Embry-Riddle University0.05-7.05vs Predicted
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20University of Tennessee-1.45-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Jacksonville University2.540.2%1st Place
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7.2Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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3.7Eckerd College2.820.2%1st Place
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4.09College of Charleston2.610.2%1st Place
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8.98University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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6.4Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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8.13University of South Florida1.250.0%1st Place
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4.87University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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9.13North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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9.76Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.42Clemson University0.510.0%1st Place
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12.35University of Miami0.030.0%1st Place
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10.37Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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16.47University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
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15.72University of North Carolina-1.410.0%1st Place
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12.88University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
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17.5Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
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11.95Embry-Riddle University0.050.0%1st Place
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15.76University of Tennessee-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Ikeda | 15.9% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 20.1% | 19.6% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Harr | 16.7% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dean Nixon | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 12.5% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Rutledge | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Buonaiuto | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 27.5% | 21.6% |
| Jacob Lozier | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 22.3% | 15.0% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 48.9% |
| Joseph Geller | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Murphy | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 15.7% | 21.7% | 20.3% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.