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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+3.96vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+2.93vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+2.81vs Predicted
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4Duke University1.19+8.73vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+0.81vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+3.04vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.97+0.35vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.29-1.66vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.21+0.68vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.14-0.11vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.02-3.82vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.38-2.81vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.89-8.45vs Predicted
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14Clemson University1.88-3.26vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.16-8.43vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.38-3.72vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University0.12-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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4.93College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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5.81Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.73Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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5.81Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.04Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Michigan2.970.1%1st Place
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6.34Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.68Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.89Eckerd College2.140.0%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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9.19Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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4.55College of Charleston3.890.2%1st Place
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10.74Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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12.28North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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14.76Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 13.3% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 13.5% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 26.9% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 16.1% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 21.5% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 15.3% | 62.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.