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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+3.92vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+2.48vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.97+4.31vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.29+2.34vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.64vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.38+3.27vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.71-1.86vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.88+2.69vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.02-1.87vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.14+0.01vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.38+1.08vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-6.16vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-7.16vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University2.21-4.24vs Predicted
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15Duke University1.19-2.37vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University0.12-2.28vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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4.48College of Charleston3.890.2%1st Place
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7.31University of Michigan2.970.1%1st Place
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6.34Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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9.27Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.14College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.69Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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10.01Eckerd College2.140.0%1st Place
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12.08North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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5.84Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.84Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.76Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.63Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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14.72Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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9.07Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 14.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 22.0% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 23.4% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 14.5% | 63.5% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.