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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+3.87vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+2.47vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.02+4.09vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.12vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.97+2.30vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.38+3.29vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.27vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-2.30vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.45-0.09vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.29-3.65vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.14-1.09vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-6.30vs Predicted
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13Clemson University1.88-2.22vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University2.21-4.26vs Predicted
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15Sacred Heart University0.12-0.33vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.38-4.69vs Predicted
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18Duke University1.19-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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4.47College of Charleston3.890.2%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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5.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Michigan2.970.1%1st Place
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9.29Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.73University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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5.7Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.91Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.35Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.91Eckerd College2.140.0%1st Place
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5.7Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.78Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.74Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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14.67Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.31North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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12.74Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 14.2% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 17.7% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 60.2% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 22.4% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 24.8% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.