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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.38+6.04vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+3.83vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+1.63vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.33+3.55vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+1.91vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.10+2.27vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.90+2.03vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.81+1.09vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.39-1.87vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.90-1.03vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.53+0.80vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.29-5.43vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.52-7.32vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.86-6.12vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.68-6.21vs Predicted
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17Cornell University-1.25-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.83College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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4.63St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
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7.55Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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6.91Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.27Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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9.09Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.13Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.97Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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12.8University of Michigan1.530.0%1st Place
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7.57University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.68Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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15.82Cornell University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Powers | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 17.5% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Genoa Warner | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Bethany Leonard | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Dubois | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 12.6% | 47.8% | 5.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
| Sara Burke | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bick | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 4.2% | 93.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.