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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.06+3.78vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.07+1.83vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+1.60vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy2.20+2.46vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.03-0.99vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80+1.63vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.55-1.82vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.83+2.36vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.82+1.57vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.53-1.60vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.20+0.04vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University0.55-1.82vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University1.49-5.58vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.45-1.61vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.90-8.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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3.76Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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4.83University of Vermont3.070.1%1st Place
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5.6Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.46Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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5.01Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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6.18Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.36McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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11.57Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
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9.4Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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13.04University of New Hampshire0.200.0%1st Place
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12.18Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.42Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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14.39Bentley University-0.450.0%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Decesar | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 21.0% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Taylor | 13.8% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Rohman | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Joseph | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guttorm Straume | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Conor Fowler | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cruanes | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 6.3% |
| Matthew Wood | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 6.2% |
| Sean Willerford | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Jared Rodriguez | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 22.5% | 21.5% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 11.4% |
| Molly Haley | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Ben Dexter | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 51.4% |
| Sam Millham | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.