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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+3.37vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.97+5.16vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.57vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+1.86vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+0.86vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.88+4.79vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.29-0.73vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-2.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.02-2.06vs Predicted
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10Duke University1.19+2.57vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.21-1.24vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.38-2.85vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.14-3.10vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.38-1.87vs Predicted
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16Sacred Heart University0.12-1.36vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University2.21-7.25vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.71-12.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37College of Charleston3.890.2%1st Place
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7.16University of Michigan2.970.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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5.86Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.86Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.79Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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6.27Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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12.57Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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9.76Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.15Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.9Eckerd College2.140.0%1st Place
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12.13North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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14.64Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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9.75Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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5.02College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 18.2% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 25.3% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 16.1% | 59.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.