← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.02+5.93vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.42+3.74vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+2.01vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.89+0.53vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.66vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan2.97+1.36vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College2.14+2.95vs Predicted
-
8Boston University3.42-2.26vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University3.29-2.90vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University2.21-0.36vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.71-6.00vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University1.38+0.06vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University2.38-3.79vs Predicted
-
14Clemson University1.88-3.25vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University2.21-5.38vs Predicted
-
16Duke University1.19-3.30vs Predicted
-
17Sacred Heart University0.12-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.93U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
-
5.74Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
5.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
-
4.53College of Charleston3.890.2%1st Place
-
6.66University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
-
7.36University of Michigan2.970.1%1st Place
-
9.95Eckerd College2.140.0%1st Place
-
5.74Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
6.1Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
-
9.64Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
5.0College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
12.06North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
-
9.21Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
-
10.75Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
-
9.62Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
-
12.7Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
-
14.74Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Hackstaff | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 16.3% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 22.2% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 25.4% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 14.6% | 61.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.