← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.29+5.11vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.02+4.98vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+2.00vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.71vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University1.88+5.83vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.42-0.16vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston3.71-1.98vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan2.97-0.89vs Predicted
-
9Duke University1.19+3.52vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University2.21-0.23vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.89-6.53vs Predicted
-
12Boston University3.42-6.16vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University2.38-3.84vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University2.21-4.30vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College2.14-5.16vs Predicted
-
16Sacred Heart University0.12-1.31vs Predicted
-
18North Carolina State University1.38-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.11Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
-
6.98U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
-
5.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
-
6.71University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
-
10.83Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
-
5.84Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
5.02College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
7.11University of Michigan2.970.1%1st Place
-
12.52Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
-
9.77Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
-
4.47College of Charleston3.890.2%1st Place
-
5.84Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.16Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.7Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
9.84Eckerd College2.140.0%1st Place
-
14.69Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
-
12.26North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 22.9% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 17.2% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 63.3% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 21.7% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.