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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+5.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.02+5.04vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.59vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.97+3.36vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.89-0.56vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42-0.13vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.71-1.94vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-3.08vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.21+0.63vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.14-0.02vs Predicted
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11Clemson University1.88-0.32vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-6.13vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.38-3.83vs Predicted
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14Duke University1.19-1.43vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.38-2.96vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.21-6.19vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University0.12-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Michigan2.970.1%1st Place
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4.44College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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5.87Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.06College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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4.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.63Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.98Eckerd College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.68Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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5.87Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.17Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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12.57Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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12.04North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.81Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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14.76Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 14.8% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 15.0% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 24.5% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 20.2% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 15.5% | 62.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.