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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+5.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.02+5.02vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+2.74vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.88+6.84vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.64vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.14+4.01vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.38+5.13vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-2.26vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.21+0.62vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.97-2.76vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.89-6.51vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.71-6.99vs Predicted
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13Duke University1.19-0.46vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-9.00vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.38-5.94vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.21-6.14vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University0.12-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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5.74Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.84Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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10.01Eckerd College2.140.0%1st Place
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12.13North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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5.74Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.62Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Michigan2.970.1%1st Place
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4.49College of Charleston3.890.2%1st Place
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5.01College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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12.54Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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5.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.06Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.86Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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14.74Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 23.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 16.9% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 14.4% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 21.7% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 13.4% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 14.6% | 61.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.