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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+3.17vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.74+4.81vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.24+5.43vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.27vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.09-1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.87+0.57vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76-0.10vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.05+0.99vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.81-2.43vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.85-0.24vs Predicted
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11Clemson University1.41+0.01vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.05-3.01vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.85-3.33vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.54-6.57vs Predicted
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15Duke University0.72-2.28vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.89-4.47vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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6.81College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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8.43Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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6.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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3.25College of Charleston4.090.3%1st Place
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6.57University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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6.9Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.99Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.57Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.76Eckerd College1.850.0%1st Place
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11.01Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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8.99Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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7.43Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.72Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.53North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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14.93Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 18.0% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 26.5% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 25.9% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 18.5% | 23.9% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 14.7% | 65.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.