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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+3.20vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+4.77vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.87+3.49vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.05+5.23vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.11vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.81+0.75vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.74-0.06vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.09-4.83vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.24-0.68vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.41+1.13vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.85-1.37vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.05-2.77vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.54-5.57vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.85-4.35vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University0.89-2.67vs Predicted
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16Duke University0.72-3.09vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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6.77Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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9.23Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.75Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.94College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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3.17College of Charleston4.090.3%1st Place
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8.32Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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11.13Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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9.63Eckerd College1.850.0%1st Place
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9.23Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.43Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.65University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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12.33North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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12.91Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.93Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 17.3% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 27.9% | 20.9% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 19.6% | 21.4% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 28.1% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 15.3% | 65.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.