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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.05+7.89vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.54+5.45vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+0.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+0.40vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.24+3.52vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.05+2.89vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76-0.08vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.41+3.04vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.00vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.74-3.18vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.89+1.47vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.81-5.35vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.85-3.27vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.87-7.54vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.85-5.43vs Predicted
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16Duke University0.72-3.12vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.45Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.28College of Charleston4.090.3%1st Place
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4.4U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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8.52Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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8.89Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.92Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.04Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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6.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.82College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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12.47North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.65Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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6.46University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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9.57Eckerd College1.850.0%1st Place
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12.88Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.92Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 25.7% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 16.3% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 24.0% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 28.2% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 65.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.