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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+2.20vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.81+4.61vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63+1.27vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.54+3.64vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.87+1.47vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.85+3.74vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.79vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.74-1.30vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.05+0.02vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.05-0.98vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.89+1.52vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.85-2.31vs Predicted
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13Clemson University1.41-1.96vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University2.24-5.61vs Predicted
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15Duke University0.72-2.27vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.76-9.18vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2College of Charleston4.090.3%1st Place
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6.61Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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4.27U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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7.64Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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6.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.7College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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9.02Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.02Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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12.52North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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9.69Eckerd College1.850.0%1st Place
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11.04Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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8.39Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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12.73Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.82Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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14.95Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 27.1% | 20.3% | 18.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 24.9% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 27.5% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 66.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.