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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.06+3.74vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.07+2.80vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+2.57vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+4.43vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03-0.02vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.83+5.49vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80+1.68vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.82+3.40vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy2.20-1.69vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.52-6.23vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.53-1.61vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University0.55+0.18vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University1.49-3.49vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.55-7.78vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.20-2.87vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.45-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Vermont3.070.1%1st Place
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5.57Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.43Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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4.98Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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11.49McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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11.4Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
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7.31Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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3.77Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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9.39Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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12.18Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.51Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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6.22Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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13.13University of New Hampshire0.200.0%1st Place
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14.39Bentley University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Decesar | 13.5% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Taylor | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Rohman | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Millham | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ian Towill | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cruanes | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 7.4% |
| Guttorm Straume | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Wood | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 6.4% |
| John Joseph | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 19.8% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Willerford | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 12.8% |
| Molly Haley | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Conor Fowler | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jared Rodriguez | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 25.6% | 20.7% |
| Ben Dexter | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 18.5% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.