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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.54+6.33vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+4.74vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63+1.27vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.87+2.53vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.85+4.77vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.89+6.48vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.73-0.05vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University2.24+0.27vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.09-5.72vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.05-0.81vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.81-4.39vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.05-2.81vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-6.87vs Predicted
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14Duke University0.72-1.19vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.85-5.43vs Predicted
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16Clemson University1.41-4.84vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.74Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.27U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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6.53University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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9.77Eckerd College1.850.0%1st Place
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12.48North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.95College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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8.27Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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3.28College of Charleston4.090.3%1st Place
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9.19Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.61Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.19Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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12.81Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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11.16Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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14.91Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Ikeda | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 16.6% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 24.8% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 25.3% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 27.5% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 64.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.