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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+5.78vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.31vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.08vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.05+5.21vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.09-1.73vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.24+2.48vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.81-0.30vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76-1.31vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.41+1.96vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.85-0.22vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.87-4.57vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.54-4.52vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.89-0.58vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.85-4.39vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.05-5.79vs Predicted
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16Duke University0.72-3.12vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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4.31U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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6.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.21Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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3.27College of Charleston4.090.3%1st Place
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8.48Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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6.7Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.69Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.96Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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7.48Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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12.42North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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9.61Eckerd College1.850.0%1st Place
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9.21Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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12.88Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.93Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 16.9% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 25.9% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 24.6% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 28.0% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 15.2% | 64.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.