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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+2.18vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.28vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.73+3.85vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+2.92vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.85+4.77vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.81+0.69vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.82vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University2.24+0.34vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.54-1.61vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.05-0.88vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.89+1.36vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.87-5.56vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.05-3.88vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.84-4.33vs Predicted
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15Clemson University1.41-4.02vs Predicted
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16Duke University0.72-3.10vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18College of Charleston4.090.3%1st Place
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4.28U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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6.85College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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6.92Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.77Eckerd College1.850.0%1st Place
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6.69Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.34Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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7.39Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.12Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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12.36North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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9.12Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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10.98Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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12.9Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.93Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 27.7% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 16.3% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 17.5% | 25.4% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 8.0% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 26.9% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 14.3% | 66.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.