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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+3.15vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+4.75vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.73+3.86vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.24+4.57vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.09-1.73vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.21vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.05+2.13vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.85+1.56vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.87-2.61vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.41+1.15vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University2.54-3.58vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.81-5.35vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.05-3.87vs Predicted
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14Duke University0.72-1.20vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.84-5.39vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.89-3.47vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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6.75Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.86College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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8.57Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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3.27College of Charleston4.090.3%1st Place
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6.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.13Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.56Eckerd College1.850.0%1st Place
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6.39University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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11.15Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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7.42Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.13Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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12.8Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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12.53North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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14.94Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 17.8% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 25.9% | 20.2% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 6.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 28.1% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 24.0% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 65.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.