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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+5.81vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.05+7.01vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+3.77vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.09-0.69vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.05+4.01vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.87+0.46vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.81-0.22vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.54-0.46vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.01vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.24-1.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.63-6.71vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.85-2.34vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.85-3.32vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University0.89-1.58vs Predicted
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15Duke University0.72-2.25vs Predicted
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16Clemson University1.41-4.83vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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9.01Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.77Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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3.31College of Charleston4.090.3%1st Place
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9.01Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.46University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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6.78Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.54Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.41Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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4.29U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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9.66University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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9.68Eckerd College1.850.0%1st Place
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12.42North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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12.75Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.17Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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14.92Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 25.7% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 15.6% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 24.2% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 16.5% | 25.7% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 14.1% | 65.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.