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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+2.22vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.73+4.83vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.05+6.10vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.24+4.60vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.69vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.21vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.54+0.58vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.87-1.67vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-2.31vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.05-0.90vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.81-4.28vs Predicted
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12Clemson University1.41-1.02vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.85-3.35vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.85-4.40vs Predicted
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15Duke University0.72-2.27vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.89-3.49vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22College of Charleston4.090.3%1st Place
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6.83College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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9.1Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.6Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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4.31U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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6.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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7.58Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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6.69Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.1Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.72Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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10.98Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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9.6Eckerd College1.850.0%1st Place
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12.73Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.51North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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14.95Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 26.9% | 19.9% | 18.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 15.4% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 25.1% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 24.4% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 15.2% | 65.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.