← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University1.34+2.05vs Predicted
-
2Loyola University New Orleans0.60+2.56vs Predicted
-
3University of Texas0.40+1.82vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.15+3.34vs Predicted
-
6University of Tennessee0.16-0.90vs Predicted
-
7University of Texas0.77-3.00vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.95vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame-0.92-1.86vs Predicted
-
10Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.05Tulane University1.340.2%1st Place
-
4.56Loyola University New Orleans0.600.1%1st Place
-
4.82University of Texas0.400.1%1st Place
-
7.34Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.150.0%1st Place
-
5.1University of Tennessee0.160.1%1st Place
-
4.0University of Texas0.770.1%1st Place
-
6.05University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
-
7.14University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
-
2.95Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Watts | 23.9% | 22.1% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Alber | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Judd | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 3.4% |
| Benjamin Moreno | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 14.4% | 20.1% | 41.0% |
| Patrick Kopiwoda | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 6.4% |
| Masie Comen | 13.6% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| John O'Brien | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 20.9% | 20.6% | 11.1% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 24.3% | 34.6% |
| John Reddaway | 27.5% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.