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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.98+1.86vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.57+1.79vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+0.92vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.24+3.92vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-0.41+2.38vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.33-0.81vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.15-0.18vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-0.80+0.73vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.52-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.46-1.81vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.06-4.69vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.21+0.05vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.77-1.77vs Predicted
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15University of Tennessee-1.90-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86College of Charleston1.9828.4%1st Place
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3.79North Carolina State University1.5718.6%1st Place
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3.92North Carolina State University1.5317.4%1st Place
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7.92University of North Carolina-0.243.8%1st Place
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6.39University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.345.9%1st Place
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8.38University of South Carolina-0.412.8%1st Place
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6.19The Citadel0.336.3%1st Place
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7.82Clemson University-0.153.6%1st Place
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9.73University of Georgia-0.802.2%1st Place
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8.91Clemson University-0.522.8%1st Place
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9.19University of North Carolina-0.462.6%1st Place
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7.31Duke University0.064.0%1st Place
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13.05University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.210.4%1st Place
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12.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.770.7%1st Place
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12.35University of Tennessee-1.900.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Mckenzie | 28.4% | 23.5% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 18.6% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 17.4% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Simpson | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Sobering | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| William Avery | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| May Proctor | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Julia Morash | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 22.1% | 41.7% |
| Tonya Hakim | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 24.2% | 23.4% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 23.9% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.