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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.06+3.75vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+1.79vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.20+4.37vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+1.66vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03-0.09vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.55+0.38vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.07-2.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80+0.48vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.83+2.37vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.53-0.54vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.82+0.47vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University1.49-2.41vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.90-5.79vs Predicted
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15Brandeis University0.59-2.98vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.20-2.84vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.45-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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3.79Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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7.37Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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5.66Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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4.91Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.38Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Vermont3.070.1%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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11.37McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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9.46Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
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9.59Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.02Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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13.16University of New Hampshire0.200.0%1st Place
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14.4Bentley University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Decesar | 14.2% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 21.8% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| James Rohman | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Taylor | 13.0% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guttorm Straume | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Justin Cruanes | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 6.6% |
| Sean Willerford | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Wood | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 6.2% |
| Molly Haley | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Sam Millham | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 10.6% |
| Jared Rodriguez | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 22.8% | 22.6% |
| Ben Dexter | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 18.0% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.