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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.34+1.71vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15+3.70vs Predicted
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4University of Tennessee0.16+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.77-1.44vs Predicted
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6Loyola University New Orleans0.60-2.11vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.39vs Predicted
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8University of Texas0.40-3.58vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.92-2.09vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.15-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Tulane University1.340.3%1st Place
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5.7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.94University of Tennessee0.160.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Texas0.770.2%1st Place
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3.89Loyola University New Orleans0.600.2%1st Place
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5.61University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Texas0.400.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.25Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Watts | 30.1% | 23.8% | 17.9% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Yapp | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 11.0% |
| Patrick Kopiwoda | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 3.7% |
| Masie Comen | 17.5% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| William Alber | 15.9% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| John O'Brien | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 13.6% | 10.0% |
| Alexander Judd | 11.6% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 25.2% | 29.6% |
| Benjamin Moreno | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 21.3% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.