← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Suarez 16.2% 15.6% 17.2% 14.0% 17.2% 10.9% 5.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Alexandra Payne 36.4% 24.6% 18.9% 11.5% 4.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Lindahl 22.9% 22.6% 20.2% 17.6% 9.6% 4.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
William Cragin 7.3% 11.6% 13.3% 14.3% 18.3% 16.9% 9.8% 6.5% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0%
James Elder 1.9% 2.3% 3.1% 4.7% 4.7% 7.2% 10.8% 17.4% 21.5% 26.4% 0.0%
Christopher Suarez 16.2% 15.6% 17.2% 14.0% 17.2% 10.9% 5.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Mitchell Selby 2.0% 2.8% 3.5% 3.5% 6.0% 8.8% 15.0% 18.3% 22.8% 17.3% 0.0%
Katherine Schneeberger 6.2% 10.9% 11.4% 16.0% 16.7% 17.8% 12.2% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Ashlynd Epstein 4.3% 6.5% 7.1% 10.4% 13.4% 16.3% 17.9% 13.4% 7.3% 3.4% 0.0%
Chloe Childs 1.8% 1.7% 2.7% 5.0% 4.9% 8.7% 14.1% 18.5% 22.5% 20.1% 0.0%
Patricia Morrow 1.0% 1.4% 2.6% 3.0% 4.3% 5.9% 12.5% 16.2% 21.2% 31.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.