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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.57+2.74vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.33+3.96vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34+3.15vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.41+4.25vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.98-2.25vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.53-2.24vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-0.80+2.10vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.52+0.58vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.46-0.29vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.15-2.46vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.06-3.86vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.24-4.24vs Predicted
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13University of Tennessee-1.90-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74North Carolina State University1.5718.1%1st Place
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5.96The Citadel0.337.0%1st Place
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6.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.345.7%1st Place
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8.25University of South Carolina-0.413.4%1st Place
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2.75College of Charleston1.9831.8%1st Place
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3.76North Carolina State University1.5316.6%1st Place
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9.1University of Georgia-0.801.6%1st Place
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8.58Clemson University-0.522.5%1st Place
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8.71University of North Carolina-0.462.4%1st Place
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7.54Clemson University-0.153.4%1st Place
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7.14Duke University0.064.5%1st Place
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7.76University of North Carolina-0.242.9%1st Place
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11.55University of Tennessee-1.900.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 18.1% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Simpson | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 5.2% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 31.8% | 21.6% | 18.0% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 16.6% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Sobering | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 10.8% |
| William Avery | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 8.0% |
| May Proctor | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 8.8% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.