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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.06+3.79vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.07+2.81vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.55+3.32vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+1.71vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03-0.05vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.52-2.19vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.82+4.52vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy2.20-0.73vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80-0.42vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University1.49-0.39vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.83+0.40vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.53-2.56vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.90-4.72vs Predicted
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15Brandeis University0.59-2.97vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.45-1.66vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.20-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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4.81University of Vermont3.070.1%1st Place
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6.32Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.71Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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4.95Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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3.81Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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11.52Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
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7.27Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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8.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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9.61Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.4McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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9.44Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.03Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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14.34Bentley University-0.450.0%1st Place
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13.15University of New Hampshire0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Decesar | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Taylor | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Rohman | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 11.8% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 20.1% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wood | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 7.2% |
| John Joseph | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Guttorm Straume | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Molly Haley | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Justin Cruanes | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 6.4% |
| Sean Willerford | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Sam Millham | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 11.1% |
| Ben Dexter | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 52.3% |
| Jared Rodriguez | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 25.5% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.