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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.98+1.79vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53+1.88vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina-0.41+5.12vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.57-0.39vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.33+1.08vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.52+2.62vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34-0.87vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.06-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.46-0.22vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.24-2.35vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.15-3.43vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-0.80-2.80vs Predicted
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13University of Tennessee-1.90-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79College of Charleston1.9830.3%1st Place
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3.88North Carolina State University1.5316.2%1st Place
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8.12University of South Carolina-0.413.6%1st Place
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3.61North Carolina State University1.5718.3%1st Place
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6.08The Citadel0.336.2%1st Place
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8.62Clemson University-0.522.6%1st Place
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6.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.345.8%1st Place
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7.08Duke University0.064.3%1st Place
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8.78University of North Carolina-0.462.1%1st Place
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7.65University of North Carolina-0.244.2%1st Place
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7.57Clemson University-0.154.3%1st Place
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9.2University of Georgia-0.801.7%1st Place
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11.49University of Tennessee-1.900.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Mckenzie | 30.3% | 23.3% | 17.5% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 16.2% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 4.9% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 18.3% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| William Avery | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 8.0% |
| Andrew Simpson | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| May Proctor | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 9.2% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Oliver Sobering | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 12.1% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.