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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.59+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.83+0.22vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.78+2.12vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.59+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.90-2.83vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.14-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55College of Charleston2.590.2%1st Place
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4.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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3.22University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
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6.12Jacksonville University0.780.0%1st Place
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5.17University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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3.17University of South Florida2.900.2%1st Place
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2.7Eckerd College3.140.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliot Caple | 16.0% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 4.0% |
| Simone Staff | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 22.5% | 16.2% | 7.2% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 19.2% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Natalie Butler | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 20.3% | 59.0% |
| Louise Currie | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 31.1% | 23.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 19.5% | 21.9% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 27.8% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.