← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.59+2.57vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+2.06vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami2.83+0.24vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College3.14-1.16vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida2.90-1.83vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University0.78+0.11vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii1.59-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.57College of Charleston2.590.2%1st Place
-
4.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
-
3.24University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
-
2.84Eckerd College3.140.3%1st Place
-
3.17University of South Florida2.900.2%1st Place
-
6.11Jacksonville University0.780.0%1st Place
-
5.01University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliot Caple | 16.5% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 5.0% |
| Simone Staff | 9.7% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 16.5% | 7.7% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 19.1% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 1.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 26.4% | 20.8% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 19.4% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 2.4% |
| Natalie Butler | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 61.1% |
| Louise Currie | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 32.2% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.