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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.07+3.76vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.06+2.82vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.20+4.39vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.03+0.98vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+3.32vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.52-2.22vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81-1.35vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.59+4.04vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.82+2.44vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.83+1.49vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.53-1.61vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University1.49-2.36vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.55-6.74vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.20-1.01vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.45-1.61vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80-8.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76University of Vermont3.070.1%1st Place
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4.82Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.39Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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4.98Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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3.78Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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5.65Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.04Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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11.44Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
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11.49McGill University0.830.0%1st Place
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9.39Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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9.64Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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6.26Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.99University of New Hampshire0.200.0%1st Place
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14.39Bentley University-0.450.0%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Taylor | 14.3% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Millham | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Willem Sandberg | 19.9% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Rohman | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 19.6% | 10.2% |
| Matthew Wood | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 7.7% |
| Justin Cruanes | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 5.7% |
| Sean Willerford | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Molly Haley | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Conor Fowler | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Rodriguez | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 22.6% | 20.9% |
| Ben Dexter | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 51.3% |
| Guttorm Straume | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.