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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.57+2.70vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.98+0.78vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+0.74vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.33+2.14vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.15+2.41vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.24+1.63vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.06+0.06vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.52+0.67vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-0.41-0.83vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34-3.68vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.46-2.26vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-0.80-2.84vs Predicted
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13University of Tennessee-1.90-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7North Carolina State University1.5718.1%1st Place
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2.78College of Charleston1.9829.2%1st Place
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3.74North Carolina State University1.5318.4%1st Place
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6.14The Citadel0.336.0%1st Place
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7.41Clemson University-0.153.5%1st Place
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7.63University of North Carolina-0.243.2%1st Place
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7.06Duke University0.064.3%1st Place
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8.67Clemson University-0.521.9%1st Place
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8.17University of South Carolina-0.413.8%1st Place
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6.32University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.345.9%1st Place
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8.74University of North Carolina-0.462.5%1st Place
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9.16University of Georgia-0.802.2%1st Place
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11.47University of Tennessee-1.901.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 18.1% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 29.2% | 24.3% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 18.4% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| William Avery | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 7.7% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 4.6% |
| Andrew Simpson | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| May Proctor | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 8.2% |
| Oliver Sobering | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 12.2% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.