Race 1A

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Eliot Caple 6.4% 6.5% 8.0% 8.0% 6.3% 8.1% 7.6% 8.3% 8.3% 9.6% 8.8% 7.7% 5.1% 1.3%
Nancy Hagood 14.3% 13.7% 10.2% 11.9% 10.6% 9.1% 9.3% 6.4% 4.8% 3.5% 2.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Marissa Golison 6.1% 5.8% 8.1% 6.1% 6.3% 5.7% 7.5% 8.0% 7.7% 11.1% 10.0% 9.6% 7.2% 0.8%
Dominique Wright 7.6% 9.4% 9.4% 8.8% 7.9% 8.8% 9.8% 8.5% 6.6% 6.6% 7.3% 6.0% 2.8% 0.5%
Andrea Luna 7.9% 9.9% 9.7% 9.4% 9.2% 8.8% 7.6% 8.0% 7.6% 7.4% 6.3% 6.3% 1.5% 0.4%
Sophie Bermudez 7.2% 5.8% 5.0% 6.8% 7.2% 8.4% 7.6% 8.3% 9.6% 7.9% 8.9% 10.2% 6.2% 0.9%
Marly Isler 9.5% 8.9% 6.8% 8.7% 8.8% 7.6% 7.9% 7.9% 8.5% 7.5% 8.2% 5.9% 3.6% 0.2%
Sarah Mackey 8.1% 7.7% 9.3% 6.4% 8.9% 7.0% 8.0% 7.3% 8.0% 7.8% 9.1% 7.2% 4.4% 0.8%
Megan Yeigh 9.6% 7.8% 9.9% 9.4% 8.6% 10.4% 8.4% 7.1% 9.0% 8.2% 4.9% 4.3% 2.0% 0.4%
Melany Johnson 10.3% 11.0% 10.9% 10.5% 8.9% 8.7% 8.5% 7.5% 8.1% 6.3% 5.4% 2.5% 1.4% 0.0%
Allison Price 1.6% 2.0% 1.4% 1.5% 1.9% 2.6% 4.0% 3.9% 4.1% 5.9% 7.6% 11.8% 38.1% 13.6%
Maria Sinagra 6.0% 5.4% 5.4% 7.4% 8.0% 7.0% 7.6% 9.9% 8.5% 7.3% 9.5% 10.4% 6.4% 1.2%
Hannah Hughes 5.2% 5.8% 5.3% 4.9% 7.0% 7.2% 5.7% 8.3% 8.2% 9.3% 10.2% 13.2% 8.4% 1.3%
Katherine Kristoffersen 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.6% 1.0% 2.5% 11.9% 78.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.