Race 3A

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nancy Hagood 13.3% 13.6% 11.8% 10.2% 9.7% 8.9% 8.1% 6.5% 5.1% 5.3% 4.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
Megan Yeigh 11.4% 9.6% 9.9% 8.6% 9.9% 9.0% 9.7% 7.1% 7.9% 6.5% 5.4% 3.1% 1.8% 0.1%
Andrea Luna 9.2% 10.7% 8.9% 9.0% 8.6% 9.3% 7.8% 6.7% 7.8% 9.4% 6.3% 4.4% 1.7% 0.2%
Sophie Bermudez 5.6% 6.4% 6.9% 7.7% 7.6% 6.8% 8.3% 8.7% 7.3% 9.7% 8.3% 9.2% 6.8% 0.7%
Marissa Golison 4.6% 6.2% 6.9% 5.7% 8.3% 7.3% 6.4% 8.2% 8.5% 7.7% 10.0% 11.7% 7.3% 1.2%
Melany Johnson 10.8% 9.8% 11.3% 10.7% 9.8% 8.6% 6.9% 7.0% 8.3% 5.6% 5.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.0%
Dominique Wright 10.4% 10.1% 8.6% 8.8% 8.7% 8.1% 9.9% 7.9% 8.2% 5.6% 6.6% 4.8% 2.1% 0.2%
Eliot Caple 7.0% 6.5% 6.8% 8.2% 6.8% 6.4% 6.9% 9.4% 8.1% 9.0% 8.5% 9.5% 6.0% 0.9%
Marly Isler 7.6% 6.5% 8.0% 7.8% 7.2% 9.9% 9.6% 7.4% 8.1% 9.4% 7.7% 6.8% 3.5% 0.5%
Hannah Hughes 4.5% 4.2% 5.4% 6.1% 6.0% 6.6% 7.1% 7.4% 9.1% 8.2% 11.5% 12.2% 10.0% 1.7%
Allison Price 1.4% 2.2% 1.3% 2.2% 1.4% 3.2% 3.3% 4.0% 4.2% 7.0% 7.1% 12.3% 37.1% 13.3%
Sarah Mackey 7.7% 6.9% 7.3% 8.6% 9.4% 7.8% 7.5% 9.1% 7.8% 8.1% 7.5% 7.2% 4.5% 0.6%
Maria Sinagra 6.3% 7.0% 6.5% 6.1% 6.3% 7.3% 8.0% 9.9% 8.7% 7.6% 9.9% 9.2% 6.2% 1.0%
Katherine Kristoffersen 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 3.4% 10.3% 79.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.