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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+6.47vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+3.40vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+2.18vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+2.10vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.59+2.42vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.28+5.05vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76-0.48vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97-1.92vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.81vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.90-3.60vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51-3.38vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.58-4.59vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.74-6.25vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.45-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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5.4Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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5.18Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.42College of Charleston2.590.1%1st Place
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11.05Jacksonville University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.52Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.08Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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6.4University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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7.62George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.75College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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13.41North Carolina State University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 12.2% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Eliot Caple | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Allison Price | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 38.3% | 12.6% |
| Marly Isler | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 1.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Mackey | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Kristoffersen | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 9.9% | 80.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.