Race 5A

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Marly Isler 7.0% 8.2% 9.2% 9.9% 7.0% 8.0% 7.7% 8.1% 9.0% 7.1% 7.4% 6.4% 4.3% 0.7%
Eliot Caple 7.5% 7.0% 7.3% 6.2% 8.7% 6.5% 7.5% 8.4% 7.8% 9.1% 11.1% 7.6% 5.0% 0.3%
Megan Yeigh 9.7% 9.5% 11.3% 6.6% 8.7% 9.3% 8.6% 8.2% 7.0% 8.0% 5.8% 5.3% 1.7% 0.3%
Andrea Luna 9.0% 10.4% 8.2% 9.2% 8.2% 9.0% 9.8% 7.3% 7.0% 8.3% 6.1% 5.1% 1.8% 0.6%
Allison Price 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 2.4% 3.3% 5.8% 6.2% 7.4% 11.4% 38.8% 12.2%
Sarah Mackey 7.6% 5.8% 7.8% 8.3% 8.1% 8.1% 8.8% 7.1% 9.1% 8.2% 7.1% 8.4% 4.8% 0.8%
Melany Johnson 12.7% 12.2% 10.8% 9.9% 8.4% 10.3% 7.3% 7.8% 7.2% 4.3% 4.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.4%
Sophie Bermudez 6.7% 7.0% 8.1% 6.2% 6.7% 6.3% 7.0% 9.3% 8.8% 7.9% 9.8% 8.2% 7.5% 0.5%
Nancy Hagood 12.1% 10.9% 11.2% 11.7% 11.1% 8.4% 9.3% 6.1% 6.6% 5.3% 4.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Hannah Hughes 4.5% 4.3% 5.2% 5.1% 5.7% 7.3% 6.6% 8.9% 7.5% 9.1% 10.6% 13.0% 10.5% 1.7%
Marissa Golison 5.8% 5.7% 5.4% 5.9% 7.7% 8.1% 6.9% 7.1% 8.0% 10.5% 10.3% 10.5% 7.2% 0.9%
Dominique Wright 8.6% 8.5% 7.7% 9.9% 8.9% 8.2% 9.4% 9.2% 7.3% 5.8% 6.4% 6.0% 3.8% 0.3%
Hannah McNomee 7.0% 8.5% 5.6% 8.7% 7.8% 7.3% 8.0% 8.5% 8.1% 9.1% 7.9% 8.8% 4.1% 0.6%
Katherine Kristoffersen 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 3.9% 8.8% 80.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.