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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.76+5.69vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+3.03vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+3.09vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.74+2.96vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.90+1.47vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.67+1.18vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.39vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.58-0.67vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.14-3.31vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.59-2.52vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.80vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-5.82vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.28-2.09vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.45-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.03Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.96College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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6.47University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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7.18George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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7.33Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.69Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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7.48College of Charleston2.590.1%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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6.18Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.91Jacksonville University1.280.0%1st Place
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13.4North Carolina State University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Nancy Hagood | 14.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mackey | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 0.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Eliot Caple | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 1.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Allison Price | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 37.8% | 11.5% |
| Katherine Kristoffersen | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 8.1% | 81.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.