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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.03+3.99vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.14-0.15vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.05+2.55vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.63+3.00vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.83-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.86+3.63vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.80+2.66vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.88-0.30vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.87-5.55vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.84-0.45vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-1.17-3.02vs Predicted
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12University of Tennessee-2.19-1.64vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-1.75-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99North Carolina State University-0.035.6%1st Place
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1.85College of Charleston2.1450.3%1st Place
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5.55University of North Carolina-0.055.2%1st Place
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7.0The Citadel-0.632.5%1st Place
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3.88Duke University-0.8311.7%1st Place
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9.63University of Georgia-1.860.9%1st Place
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9.66University of South Carolina-1.801.0%1st Place
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7.7Clemson University-0.882.0%1st Place
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3.45North Carolina State University0.8715.0%1st Place
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9.55University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.841.1%1st Place
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7.98Clemson University-1.172.8%1st Place
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10.36University of Tennessee-2.190.9%1st Place
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9.39University of North Carolina-1.751.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Milstien | 5.6% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Thomson | 50.3% | 27.8% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Camden Hom | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Ringel | 11.7% | 16.6% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bales Brannon | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 16.6% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 16.3% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Brelage | 15.0% | 19.9% | 21.9% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caswell Kern | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 17.4% |
| Myah Frashier | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Katy Woo | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 28.1% |
| Runyon Tyler | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.