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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+6.48vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.59+5.12vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+3.78vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.90+2.39vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.51+2.68vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+0.16vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.28-2.07vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.74-1.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.86vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97-3.83vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.28+0.03vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.58-4.65vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.14-7.44vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.45-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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7.12College of Charleston2.590.1%1st Place
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6.78Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.39University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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7.68George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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4.93Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.8College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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6.17Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.03Jacksonville University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.56Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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13.39North Carolina State University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Eliot Caple | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 0.3% |
| Marly Isler | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 1.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 14.0% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mackey | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 1.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Allison Price | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 36.7% | 13.6% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Kristoffersen | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 11.4% | 79.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.